Naira defies pressure, ends February below N1,500 per dollar

Naira closed February 2025 with an 8.5 per cent gain month-on-month on the parallel market to settle at 1,490/$, while it closed at 1,500/$ on the official market, indicating a 1.7 per cent m/m decline.

According to the Afrinvest Monthly Market Report, the foreign reserve dipped by 3.2 per cent month-on-month. As of Thursday, it stood at $38.46bn.

“This decline can be linked to CBN’s efforts to stabilise the naira, particularly through the resumption of payments for the verified portion of the outstanding $7.0bn foreign exchange backlog,” the analysts said.

They went on to project that “in March, we anticipate the naira will maintain its positive performance across FX segments, supported by the CBN’s continued USD supply to BDCs and DMBs, provided there are no adverse market shocks.”

Naira closed February 2025 with an 8.5 per cent gain month-on-month on the parallel market to settle at 1,490/$, while it closed at 1,500/$ on the official market, indicating a 1.7 per cent m/m decline.

According to the Afrinvest Monthly Market Report, the foreign reserve dipped by 3.2 per cent month-on-month. As of Thursday, it stood at $38.46bn.

“This decline can be linked to CBN’s efforts to stabilise the naira, particularly through the resumption of payments for the verified portion of the outstanding $7.0bn foreign exchange backlog,” the analysts said.

They went on to project that “in March, we anticipate the naira will maintain its positive performance across FX segments, supported by the CBN’s continued USD supply to BDCs and DMBs, provided there are no adverse market shocks.”

Naira closed February 2025 with an 8.5 per cent gain month-on-month on the parallel market to settle at 1,490/$, while it closed at 1,500/$ on the official market, indicating a 1.7 per cent m/m decline.

According to the Afrinvest Monthly Market Report, the foreign reserve dipped by 3.2 per cent month-on-month. As of Thursday, it stood at $38.46bn.

“This decline can be linked to CBN’s efforts to stabilise the naira, particularly through the resumption of payments for the verified portion of the outstanding $7.0bn foreign exchange backlog,” the analysts said.

They went on to project that “in March, we anticipate the naira will maintain its positive performance across FX segments, supported by the CBN’s continued USD supply to BDCs and DMBs, provided there are no adverse market shocks.”

“At the official window, the local currency appreciated marginally by 93 kobo against the greenback, closing at N1,500.15 per dollar. Meanwhile, at the parallel market, the naira gained N5 to settle at an average of N1,490 per dollar as demand pressure eased slightly.”

On the outlook for the week, the analysts said, “In the coming week, we anticipate a continued battle for stability in the forex market as the apex bank intensifies efforts to defend the naira. With the CBN expected to take more decisive steps to support the local currency, including tightening liquidity and enhancing forex supply mechanisms, the naira could gain further ground against the dollar in the coming week.”

Experts have in the past highlighted some of the challenges threatening the naira’s stability, including a mounting debt burden, sustained decline in foreign reserves, and high inflation rates. They claim that these factors threaten to undermine the potential gains of ongoing foreign exchange reforms.

𝙍𝙚𝙖𝙙 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙇𝙖𝙩𝙚𝙨𝙩 𝙎𝙥𝙤𝙧𝙩 𝙏𝙧𝙚𝙣𝙙𝙨 𝙖𝙣𝙙 𝙂𝙚𝙩 𝙁𝙧𝙚𝙨𝙝 𝙪𝙥𝙙𝙖𝙩𝙚𝙨 𝙖𝙨 𝙩𝙝𝙚𝙮 𝙙𝙧𝙤𝙥 𝙫𝙞𝙖 [𝙏𝙬𝙞𝙩𝙩𝙚𝙧] 𝙓 𝙖𝙣𝙙 𝙁𝙖𝙘𝙚𝙗𝙤𝙤𝙠

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